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July 10, 2005
Further analysis (more whining)
I still need to do some whining (not winning, whining).
When you analyze a little, you can see just how poor the cards ran for me over 14 hours of play. If you consider that in 14 hours of slow playing one should see 400 to 500 hands (30 hands per hour), then statistically I should have, on average, been dealt a high pair (aces, kings, or queens) 6 or 7 times instead of once. That one time was a pair of Kings in early position which were folded to when I made the standard raise of 3 times the big blind. So I collected only the antes with it.
I was also never dealt a hand of suited connectors (something like Jack-Ten suited) in a position I could play. I did get AQ a couple of times (which resulted in me getting busted) and AK about 3 times.
I made some bold moves, stole some pots, and did what I could with the cards I was dealt -- reaching almost $25,000 at one point in the tournament.
As for fault in my play, I will admit that I probably got pushed out of a couple of pots by one aggressive guy who may have been taking advantage of my tight play to force me to make all-in decisions before I really wanted to. But should I have put in 2/3 or all of my money in with a pair of threes after the flop or AQ before the flop to see if he was bluffing? I decided not to. So he got 5 or 6 thousand out of my bet-before-the-flop attempts.
If there is a lesson I did learn, though, it's that in a tournament like this you absolutely cannot try to hold on and survive. You have to be aggressive and push on the windows of opportunity from the beginning. This was my first time in this event, and I really did want to hold on -- so I was holding back a little. Next time, I won't be afraid to be eliminated in the first hour if that's what it will take.
Posted by LarryW at July 10, 2005 09:16 PM
Comments
Shouldn't that be Wein'ing ?
Posted by: Seath at July 12, 2005 06:02 PM